PENERAPAN METODE EKSPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DALAM MEMPREDIKSI JUMLAH PESERTA DIDIK BARU DI SMA FAVORIT KOTA PAYAKUMBUH

  • Muhammad Marizal Prodi Matematika, Fakultas Sains dan Teknologi, Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau
  • Fikha Mutiarani Prodi Matematika, Fakultas Sains dan Teknologi, Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau

Abstract

Forecasting is a technique for estimating a value on a particular object in the future by paying attention to past data. This forecasting uses the Exponential Smoothing models because the data used is in accordance with the model. This study aims to predict the number of students in favorite high schools in Payakumbuh based on data obtained from 2014 until 2021 which is grouped into science and social studies classes. Forecasting is done using a Single Exponential Smoothing and Double Exponential models. MAPE results show that the Double Exponential Smoothing model is better at predicting the number of new students than Single Exponential Smoothing. 
Keywords: Double exponential smoothing, forecasting, single exponential smoothing
MSC2020: 62M10

Published
2022-03-13
How to Cite
MARIZAL, Muhammad; MUTIARANI, Fikha. PENERAPAN METODE EKSPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DALAM MEMPREDIKSI JUMLAH PESERTA DIDIK BARU DI SMA FAVORIT KOTA PAYAKUMBUH. Majalah Ilmiah Matematika dan Statistika, [S.l.], v. 22, n. 1, p. 43-49, mar. 2022. ISSN 2722-9866. Available at: <https://jurnal.unej.ac.id/index.php/MIMS/article/view/30138>. Date accessed: 07 july 2022. doi: https://doi.org/10.19184/mims.v22i1.30138.